Bucket: politics — 2026-04-16

Run date: 2026-04-16 • Generated at: 2026-05-20 09:53 UTC

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Markets in this bucket
QuestionLiquidityVolume 24hUpdatedMarketRankLink
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
8.26M2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x813451b970c8aae23a9b2441fd9be8367e8691a636323ced76f6fd1914c1e0a81—
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
5.30M2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x426cc911ba800b7de5de27ad1e6363733bd9fc9411bff8032399792ebb882ba92—
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1.07M2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe843—
Trump out as President by April 30?
975.90K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0x24f38479176af2d71f64161d53bde777aef49ef1c03066510174d43a8d2a43fe4—
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
655.53K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f5—
Trump out as President by June 30?
530.40K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0xeeb1b35c595b19f9512c55f85fdf93f3625c3cec1a9b6bac6262921fbd87912e6—
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
392.44K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a27—
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
356.43K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0x14fd8ab261d14215058b77a9541a5013ccc3d3eb677276a9de54445a31acd1948—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
323.04K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x23408daff185f6c89d91bd279ce97142c573454277d72ae882a9d9fd1ae79af49—
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
298.14K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xa0b56d7e621c7cbcfa47fe1a9c24f3409e189180fd6bda55b7a8113129839afc10—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
296.11K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd209311—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
280.80K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c104812—
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
265.45K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xd595eb9b81885ff018738300c79047e3ec89e87294424f57a29a7fa9162bf11613—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
250.11K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c514—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
235.05K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a715—
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
234.84K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xabe87ef65fbf14524375d7875fca53cab24de288efad25fc17269b7b7b580bb416—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
216.05K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a217—
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
209.69K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d18—
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
186.49K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d19—
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
170.79K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x23dbb60ade08c2664ac29488325afbc0136735bc7beb9180d9c0cb72620b0b1320—
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
168.25K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d5521—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
167.59K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce22—
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
163.96K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xb3bb9cf1e79aa9ec1082f644cd2bc9c4e24353e3e23cdcb736d7af7fd991da7f23—
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
159.15K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0x5ca616aaa0e1e5df6c38439f8bee4b96bacfe32f8f39cb2f1604c0196548662f24—
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
158.75K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b425—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
156.10K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c26—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
155.86K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f527—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
153.87K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea128—
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
152.45K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xe4674169c8b05e165755aedc092fda2c316fc4ab163f15a3eea6d542597fa2f629—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
148.96K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xd73f60114a0e7169a55082daef1228cb27fa50c939eea22cb0589f6bac6ce5d330—
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
148.32K2026-04-16 01:58 UTC0x803d2e507445326669983308757283c81efdfde77bc64bc4cb754751940c283631—
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
144.09K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xfde48a662b2c654f19761bdac0cc749f86e14ab2566b089cce1ad713a56fb73832—
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
143.99K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x89206c087141115cecd1fb6454a3075cceb90e569aa4b5c5fc088417780a1f9533—
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
142.27K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0xe773bc6f3e6738b2e6ccb5b9af3e78971f01931681086f5528d9e97f147fd4ac34—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
140.30K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0xd57eed0d44f5b8ca54925d8d6ff440b146b3e6e071da18136ee3ee572d34479e35—
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
139.28K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x494ce34b977229ca7011ea0d18f2fdb1ff959d273169ff4dc4fb32cd9bcdbb8136—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
134.25K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d437—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
128.20K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f297138—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
127.24K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b85939—
Iran leadership change by December 31?
123.93K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a560740—
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
116.01K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xe00f84278d7ec49668b4f9f6c6d0a437663cdcf0e330fdb3789c649f8a29fdc841—
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
114.84K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xe723e5e63c14e387c03cb37b11d79fa88f46a302503175b56cd9f68ecbc00a2042—
Iran leadership change by April 30?
114.22K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e679343—
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
113.45K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc3081144—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
111.65K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e45—
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
110.61K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c08346—
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
109.62K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f347—
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
105.71K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x1bb95f67ff6d971d43a112464e65b2a5e94e6ae61c72a111ad53340ba7d8cab348—
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
105.70K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x2fc1e1bcf0aed6eebd7056480133ebea59d0c8666bd07f2498c14bf958f700ae49—
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
104.44K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c8113950—