Bucket: geopolitics — 2025-12-10

Run date: 2025-12-10 • Generated at: 2026-03-07 09:43 UTC

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Markets in this bucket
QuestionLiquidityVolume 24hUpdatedMarketRankLink
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1.07M2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xb8c1bd306a8a4cedfb280e114e655c5092b3f37edccae05cd877d7f21a5774ce1—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
929.04K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af302—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
654.10K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d3—
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
551.82K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d44—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
537.05K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e267395—
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
334.84K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b76—
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
268.50K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f7—
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
245.27K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d8—
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
215.91K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x5299a291f2aaafadee5c937a76bc7810c6ac27c7ad87b223cb885258f2e0a3209—
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
193.50K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x7f3c6b9029a1a4a932509c147a2cc0762e1116b7a4568cde472908b29dd4889d10—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
175.33K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce11—
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
159.10K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x77b9b065f487d1e18d005465d221ec6c84ed3babfaf6ecf62f20baeaa9fc303812—
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
145.68K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x831493dce463d9adcad78c492f2cbec6ecdac31f4e8c5a894fdac68c130549d413—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
141.19K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x2e94bb8dd09931d12e6e656fe4fe6ceb3922bc3d6eab864bb6cd24773cf6726914—
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
133.03K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xf8b730810252255fa217a2828b46b7a3c0ed63b702c817461270ce9e65b5ec2515—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
130.37K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c216—
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
126.34K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b417—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
125.80K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xe6b7d4d8b4d2ff7dc8c9e5d6dd70b6eece210b8cf9e34fb45f9b9516cc4c76ff18—
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
122.53K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x1dd7704a6d05cca078564bc0bac541261425bc9252acc5634639f5161daf45f919—
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
120.05K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f320—
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
116.23K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b21—
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
111.61K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x23fd2b26c4e095465ba0d2ebce8d5eda57009ddc59aad8b68ab19ca968b41eed22—
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
106.90K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xe98938875eadeffcc491c02ae0e0f11d45352c8f70c1bcdec397ffc7dfdec8a923—
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
105.63K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x2701e5a5b751418c5c5bf0faaafdea60ac9fc893eb75fd88e902cd97458d375b24—
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
104.78K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x74a960f6e74324d124183f786467b089beebaaa34b075181c55e823b18bde04825—
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
104.08K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x746481a9f7ac20a4959a11ea5d535522040b0dfd7c21b920d5fe134a93c2c26c26—
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
104.04K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xf0d4ee47d3abe6161f1e8f93bfe46d06d1ffd63f48e71c49aa81b2250e152e8b27—
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
99.18K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x03e12e22b76bdd21d24a3d8e03e0a8bc724c9a94705fc8f65a82ba27cdace6dc28—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
93.53K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c80329—
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
90.80K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x8063a2c9fa21c4a1470b33fee132d6d61fb5b7dcd667dcac3bb82ae15ad70c0d30—
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
89.02K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0xe723e5e63c14e387c03cb37b11d79fa88f46a302503175b56cd9f68ecbc00a2031—
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
87.86K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x8ded2408388980c032a4e9e3429730747c25a6499e50579abc67a3af5395e17432—
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
85.53K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x28f1e9218bcd41ced05faf3c03f026721d87712556bf2828337551f03cae0a0133—
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
84.87K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xd178115ac95322840b5cce40736e34b83b30885cd81ddfc28f7bce9707eb5b7134—
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
75.87K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc3081135—
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
75.45K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0xfda7c9a4106beba4799d4e38ce4e8df14ea2651bec78cdd12b7295aa3cc4226836—
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
73.73K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e637—
Trump out as President before 2027?
71.43K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c472238—
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
68.04K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c39—
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
67.91K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed58440—
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
66.52K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af5841—
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
65.31K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0xd1cce43b5fded07d49b457f473f49d921db7053a9cd98dcfd5c3271a53e6713f42—
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
65.16K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f43—
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
63.80K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x60ecb823bb667a51ccf9ffcb1cab2c48899cd16410687874887dab9df9f4e1bf44—
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
63.09K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x9bd3c971a382cf9ee28afc6069295048c1e67299c81bed15cb552ebe7d33ce8245—
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
61.37K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x4c04cc7094bf35bd682eb4f0e492836b97392c213087a2b891d0b5d897a81eb246—
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
60.46K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0xf752269473fe416c87c8da63dd21c74581cbe3f3920cc904b0d59cbdfa173ef747—
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
59.23K2026-01-11 14:46 UTC0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf344737400948—
Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
59.06K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x14501df0ca5ec395792b0614b18133b72e702a9a2615dd0a4b3f0c6e097de08149—
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
58.81K2026-01-11 14:47 UTC0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff3650—