Bucket: geopolitics — 2026-04-16

Run date: 2026-04-16 • Generated at: 2026-05-20 09:53 UTC

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QuestionLiquidityVolume 24hUpdatedMarketRankLink
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
8.26M2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x813451b970c8aae23a9b2441fd9be8367e8691a636323ced76f6fd1914c1e0a81—
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
6.11M2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x6f19d9353a050b75146deab85790798008f71b699232e5e237e2f46d2cb5dc2b2—
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1.07M2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe843—
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
655.53K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f4—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
643.86K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e023106346695—
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
392.44K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a26—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
323.04K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x23408daff185f6c89d91bd279ce97142c573454277d72ae882a9d9fd1ae79af47—
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
298.14K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xa0b56d7e621c7cbcfa47fe1a9c24f3409e189180fd6bda55b7a8113129839afc8—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
296.11K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd20939—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
280.80K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c104810—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
250.11K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c511—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
235.05K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a712—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
216.05K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a213—
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
209.69K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d14—
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
186.49K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d15—
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
168.25K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d5516—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
167.59K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce17—
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
159.15K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0x5ca616aaa0e1e5df6c38439f8bee4b96bacfe32f8f39cb2f1604c0196548662f18—
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
158.75K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b419—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
156.10K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c20—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
155.86K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f521—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
153.87K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea122—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
148.96K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xd73f60114a0e7169a55082daef1228cb27fa50c939eea22cb0589f6bac6ce5d323—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
140.30K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0xd57eed0d44f5b8ca54925d8d6ff440b146b3e6e071da18136ee3ee572d34479e24—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
134.25K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d425—
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
132.94K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x894a26116ec1e467d89955a029545e090bbc38713351e21971da5c1572056c2526—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
127.24K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b85927—
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
125.46K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d188728—
Iran leadership change by December 31?
123.93K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a560729—
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
116.01K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xe00f84278d7ec49668b4f9f6c6d0a437663cdcf0e330fdb3789c649f8a29fdc830—
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
114.84K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0xe723e5e63c14e387c03cb37b11d79fa88f46a302503175b56cd9f68ecbc00a2031—
Iran leadership change by April 30?
114.22K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e679332—
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
113.45K2026-04-16 02:04 UTC0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc3081133—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
111.65K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e34—
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
110.61K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c08335—
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
109.62K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f336—
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
105.73K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x7dca1c4307dddce4d21198ee7297585da0d2c9300019cad78d2b671fae0b3dca37—
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
104.44K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c8113938—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
104.20K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c39—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
100.61K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0x136f5a0c27a62cf9a2e40a4f48425e43d61b9571a53a2529372c0065f3218a7340—
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
100.12K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x057da165b096d1f3a59d87bcad68649aecd18dc25c89a6d083530d1aaac1814641—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
99.26K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x422ca08d0b46118b477f19e06a432fc4e4ba50173c524fa8fee827bf321645d042—
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
95.99K2026-04-16 01:59 UTC0x831493dce463d9adcad78c492f2cbec6ecdac31f4e8c5a894fdac68c130549d443—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
89.15K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b3544—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
88.20K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a2545—
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?
86.20K2026-04-16 02:03 UTC0xdba26f18e126e4f13f776b1fba91937ab4d51314a93ebd4829030ccc1e0a3ce746—
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
83.16K2026-04-16 02:01 UTC0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a08947—
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
82.51K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x8063a2c9fa21c4a1470b33fee132d6d61fb5b7dcd667dcac3bb82ae15ad70c0d48—
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
81.87K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x1a1346d763389455dac46a51e20c4cc25aecef5323f1701a440cc11d4c3f129e49—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
81.85K2026-04-16 02:00 UTC0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c550—